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Huatai Securities: The countercyclical adjustment is stronger than expected, and the expansion of domestic demand may fall on the policy of boosting consumption. Huatai Securities believes that the macro-policy orientation conveyed by the Central Economic Work Conference is more positive, in fiscal policy (expanding deficit, increasing special national debt, expanding the use scope of special debt, etc.), monetary policy (moderately easing, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates), real estate and capital market (stabilizing the property market and stock market), and expanding domestic demand policy (implementing special actions to boost consumption) In terms of currency securities, Huatai Securities believes that there is still room for interest rate cuts. On the one hand, the current real interest rate level is still high in horizontal comparison; On the other hand, credit expansion, especially the balance sheet expansion of developers and local governments, is relatively weak, and the cost of capital has room for further decline. It is expected that the central bank will cut interest rates by 30-50 basis points next year, but the pace may be affected by external changes and exchange rates.Ministry of National Defense: The PLA Military Orchestra will perform in Vietnam. Wu Qian, spokesman of the Ministry of National Defense: At the invitation of the Vietnamese Ministry of National Defense, the China People's Liberation Army Military Orchestra will send a team to perform in Vietnam from December 14 to 23 to participate in the celebration of the 80th anniversary of the founding of the Vietnamese People's Army. This move will help deepen the traditional friendship between the Chinese and Vietnamese armed forces and expand the cultural exchanges between the two armed forces.Ocean Shipping Group: In the first 11 months, it achieved sales of 30.6 billion yuan. On December 12, Ocean Shipping Group (03377.HK) released unaudited operation data. In November, the company achieved an accumulated sales of about 3.73 billion yuan. The agreed sales floor area is about 346,300 square meters; The average agreed sales price is 10,800 yuan per square meter. In the first 11 months of this year, COSCO achieved a cumulative agreed sales of about 30.6 billion yuan; The cumulative agreed floor area is about 2,544,100 square meters; The cumulative average agreed sales price is about 12,000 yuan per square meter.

The strength of the policy is in line with expectations. The New Year's market may have started, and the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) can be used as a key layout. On December 13th, as of midday, the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) fell by 2%, with a turnover of 115 million yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed, and in terms of rising, Yangtze Power leads the rise; In terms of decline, Zijin Mining led the decline. In the news, from December 11th to 12th, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing, which made a systematic plan for next year's economic work. Regarding the highlights of the meeting, CITIC Jiantou said that the meeting of the Central Economic Work Conference continued the main tone of the Politburo meeting on Monday, and made systematic arrangements for economic work next year. Next year's policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in an all-round way, and the policy strength and direction are in line with our expectations. With the support of policy expectation and liquidity, the current new year's market has been launched, and it is expected that the market will continue to show the characteristics of shock upward. Focus on industries: non-bank finance, real estate chain, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, building materials, steel, social services, catering chain, etc. Topics of concern: duality and innovation, supply-side optimization, new quality productivity, market value management of state-owned enterprises. You can use the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) to lay out the core assets with one click.The net purchase of southbound funds reached 5 billion yuan.Youhao Group established a new company of commodity purchasing center. According to the enterprise search APP, Shihezi Youhao Commodity Purchasing Center Co., Ltd. was recently established, with the legal representative of Yang Weihong and the registered capital of 5 million yuan. Its business scope includes: publication retail; Drug retail; Liquor business; Internet sales of food; The third kind of medical device management, etc. Enterprise survey shows that the company is wholly owned by Friendship Group.

Market News: mitsubishi electric is negotiating with Japanese domestic competitors to jointly produce power chips, and advocates an alliance in manufacturing key components that drive global equipment.Market News: mitsubishi electric is negotiating with Japanese domestic competitors to jointly produce power chips, and advocates an alliance in manufacturing key components that drive global equipment.Argentina made the final verdict of sunset review of anti-dumping against China's spring shock absorbers. According to China Trade Relief Information Network, on December 12, the Argentine Ministry of Economic Affairs issued Announcement No.1364 in 2024, which made the negative final verdict of the first sunset review of anti-dumping on spring shock absorbers originating in China, including single shock absorber components, used in motorcycles and bicycles equipped with auxiliary engines with or without buckets, and decided not to continue to impose anti-dumping duties on the products involved. The announcement shall take effect as of the date of promulgation. This case involves the products under the tax numbers of 8714.10.00 and 8714.99.90 of the Southern Communist Party.